Planning dementia care for the future requires solid evidence
In 2009, Dementia Australia New South Wales commissioned Access Economics to provide up-to-date estimates and projects of prevalence and incidence for people with dementia in New South Wales, as per the list below.
With this in mind Dementia Australia NSW commissioned Access Economics to provide up-to-date estimates and projections of prevalence and incidence for people with dementia in NSW.
Dementia Prevalence & Incidence among Australians who do not speak English at home November 2006
Funded by Lundbeck Australia, this report estimates the number of people with dementia in culturally and linguistically diverse (CALD) communities and from Indigenous communities – and predicts how these numbers will grow by the year 2050.
Dementia Estimates & Projections : NSW & its RegionsAccess Econcomics Report February 2005
This report presents data for New South Wales and its constituent Area Health Service regions on the prevalence and incidence of dementia today, and projections for the future. 1 in 3 Australians with dementia currently live in New South Wales, around 71,360 people in 2005. This is projected to increase to over 227,200 people by 2050, more than the total number of people living with dementia across all of Australia today. In 2005 around 18,100 new cases of dementia will be diagnosed in NSW. This will also grow, to around 54,700 new cases in 2050.NSW, along with Victoria, Tasmania and South Australia, has a relatively older population than other States and Territories. As a result, NSW also has higher rates of dementia incidence and prevalence, as a percentage of their populations.
Dementia Estimates and Projections, NSW and its regions. 2005.
General findings from the Dementia Estimates and Projections, NSW and its Regions Report by Access Economics in Feburary 2005:
- In New South Wales almost 74,000 people have a diagnosis of dementia, with 227,000 people expected to be directly affected by 2050.
- 1 in 3 Australians with dementia live in NSW (about 73,810 people in 2006).
- By 2050 this number will increase to more than 227, 000 in NSW.In 2006, 18, 700 new cases of dementia will be diagnosed in NSWIn 2050 this number will increase threefold to an estimated 54, 700 annually.
- Currently around 65% of people with dementia live in metropolitan areas (about 46, 300).
- The largest number of people with dementia lives in the Northern Sydney/Central Coast and South Eastern Sydney/Illawarra area.
- This trend is expected to continue up to 2050. In 2005 there were 46,261 people with dementia in metropolitan areas. This number will grow to nearly 147,400 in 2050.
- In 2005 there were more than 25,000 people with dementia in regional areas.
- This number will grow to nearly 80,000 by 2050.
- Of the estimated 18,100 new cases of dementia in NSW in 2005, more than 11,000 are women.
- The majority of new cases are in people aged 75 to 89.
- A quarter will be aged between 80 and 84. Although 65% of people with dementia live in metropolitan areas there is likely to be more rapid growth of dementia in regional areas between 2002 and 2050.
- The greatest growth in dementia incidence will be on the North Coast.